Dawn to dusk (4/08/22)

Happy Friday. Both launch pads at the Cape’s Launch Complex 39 are occupied by rockets capable of bringing humans to space, and it’s a pretty impressive sight.

But they’ll only be neighbors for exactly two more hours, if all goes to plan. A Falcon 9 is set to launch Ax-1 and four private astronauts to the ISS at 11:17 am. SLS will hold down the fort and remain on the pad to await its next wet dress rehearsal attempt.

In today’s edition: 🌐 Space’s “internet moment” ✈️ GEO shipping woes🌌 New interplanetary data

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A Q&A with BlackSky's CEO

Image of the "Korczowa-Krakovetsvia" border crossing via BlackSky. Per the company, "Dawn-to-dusk series of images collected over the Korczowa-Krakovets border shows the progressive increase of bus traffic leaving Ukraine over a nine-hour period on March 17."

Image of the Korczowa-Krakovetsvia border crossing via BlackSky. Per the company, "dawn-to-dusk series of images collected over the Korczowa-Krakovets border shows the progressive increase of bus traffic leaving Ukraine over a nine-hour period on March 17."

What happens when you send thousands of sensors into space? 

BlackSky (NYSE:BKSY) CEO Brian E. O'Toole has some thoughts on the matter, which he shared with Payload earlier this week at Space Symposium. The Tl;DR: “It will completely change the way we see and understand the world." 

  • His company most recently launched two satellites on Saturday with Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB).

  • In a subsequent press release, BlackSky emphasized how quickly its satellites started operating on-orbit and generating revenue. 

Agile space, speedy insights, etc. 

Payload spoke with O'Toole about the buzzy topics mentioned above, along with: 

  • Ukraine 

  • Writing software before launching satellites

  • Dawn-to-dusk orbits

  • Moving up the Earth observation value chain 

  • Raw data vs. derived data vs. “just give me the answer” 

  • Expanding from government to commercial customers 

“I think space is having its internet moment right now,” O’Toole told Payload. What comes next is anybody’s guess.

Everyone in the Same Boat

The Antonov Mriya aircraft before it was destroyed in Ukraine.

The Mriya aircraft, before it was destroyed.

Ukrainian firm Antonov owns and operates the largest cargo aircraft in the world. A significant portion of the company’s fleet has been grounded or destroyed since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, leaving many GEO satellites to find other rides to the pad. 

Heavy-lift aircraft: Antonov’s large cargo aircraft are some of the only planes in the world with enough capacity to shuttle GEO satellites and large spacecraft components. 

  • The AN-225 Mriya aircraft, in a cargo capacity class of its own with the ability to carry ~280 tons, was destroyed in the early days of the invasion. 

  • As of a month ago, Antonov had a fleet of 14 planes, mostly grounded at Hostomel airport in Ukraine. 

  • Five AN-124-100s, which can carry ~120 tons each, are operational outside of Ukraine. They’re in high demand and mostly reserved for government use.

If not by air…Satellite manufacturers that relied heavily on Antonov for transporting bulky space-bound cargo are now looking into other possibilities for travel. NASA, an Antonov frequent flier, told Payload “partners that use Antonov have shared they are working to find other means of transportation, which includes use of NASA’s Pegasus barge.”

  • By sea: SES told SpaceNews that it will be transporting its SES-22 C-band satellite from Europe to the US by ship rather than by Antonov, and that the shift shouldn’t cause delays in the overall mission timeline. Airbus will likely need to transport its Measat-3d satellite from France to French Guiana by boat.

  • By land: Viasat will drive its first ViaSat-3 satellite from California to Florida. Recently, the Talk of Titusville Twitter account posted a video of the Cygnus spacecraft being driven on the back of a truck on the highway; NASA confirmed the exposed Cygnus in the video was not a flight unit.

Building up delays: In its statement to Payload, NASA said it is not anticipating any Antonov-related delays to its planned programs in the near future. Other companies may not be so lucky. 

The airplane is the essential heavy-lift aircraft provider, and with its planes caught up in conflict or sidelined for government use, the commercial sector may all but lose its access. 

Intelsat CTO Bruno Fromont told SpaceIntelReport that moving the company’s satellites from their manufacturing site to the launch site by boat rather than plane would cause 10-12 days of delay. Fromont’s quote was too on the nose: “everybody’s in the same boat right now.” 

The upshot: The Antonov crunch adds more strain to already-stressed supply chains and serves as yet another example of how Earthly geopolitical tensions can extend into space. Satellite makers want to certify more aircraft, including the Airbus Supper Guppy and Airbus Beluga, to carry satellites and large spacecraft components. That’s no small task, given the unique demands and sensitivities of GEO satellites.

In Other News

  • Space Symposium wrapped up in Colorado Springs. We’ll have a brief recap for you on Monday. 

  • Maxar (NYSE:MAXR) spotted SLS from space. 

  • Ax-1, the first all-private astronaut mission to the ISS, is slated for launch in about two hours at 11:17 am ET.

  • The AAS (American Astronomical Society) has formally requested that NASA retroactively implement a “rigorous” naming process for JWST.

  • Momentus (NASDAQ:MNTS) booked slots on Transporter-6, 7, 8, and 9, targeted for Oct. ‘22, Jan. ‘23, April ‘23, and Oct. ‘23. Shares jumped by nearly 50% in premarket trading, and the space transportation company finished Thursday up 49%.

  • SOFIA has mapped a “bone” of a galaxy for the first time.

Payload Insights

a graph showing a population of 0 on Mars, excluding robots, since at least 2004.

Graph: FRED/St. Louis Fed

Follow the newsroom. Rachael is Payload's reporter and Ryan is the managing editor.Get in touch. Feedback? Thoughts? Tips? Slide into the DMs or just reply here. Partner with Payload. Drop us a line to talk shop and ad rates. 

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